Polar bear habitat – more Arctic sea ice in Canada this week than in early 1970s

Facts and real Data trump Models every time ;>)


This week, Arctic sea ice in Canada, where 2/3 of the world’s polar bears live, had more sea ice than was present in the early 1970s. Globally, the ice is spitting-distance close to the 1981-2010 average calculated by the NSIDC for this date – which means lots of winter/spring hunting habitat for polar bears.

Canada sea ice freeze-up_same week_Dec 25 1971_2014 standard average

This is the peak of the polar bear birthing season (both in the wild and in zoos.) Newborns will be snug in maternity dens built by their mothers onshore or on the sea ice; the rest of the population will be out on the ice.

Sea ice extent 2014 Dec 25 NSIDC

Regional ice charts going back to the late 1960s and early 1970s for this week show even more surprises — have a look.

First, here’s today’s ice map (26 December 2014) published by the Canadian Ice Service. Click on any of the maps or charts below to enlarge.

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How The Earth’s Temperature Looks On An AlcoholThermometer

Help we be burning LOL

suyts space

Imagine that each red line is a line from a mercury alcohol thermometer which goes from 0 to 120° F as many thermometers do, except they typically go lower, often at about -40°F.


So each red line on this graph represents an annual temp as a thermometer would display it.  The source is the GISS data.


Yep, the earth is burning up.  Running a fever!!!  Quick someone give it an aspirin!!!  We should tax ourselves into oblivion because of this.

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On the Elusive Absolute Global Mean Surface Temperature – A Model-Data Comparison

Thank you Bob for all you do ;>)

Bob Tisdale - Climate Observations

With the publication of the IPCC 5th Synthesis Report, I thought there might be some interest in a presentation of how well (actually poorly) climate models simulate global mean surface temperatures in absolute terms.  That is, most climate model outputs are presented in terms of anomalies, with data shown as deviations from the temperatures of a multi-decadal reference period. See Figure 1.

Figure 1

Figure 1

Rarely, are models and model-data comparisons shown in absolute terms.  That’s what’s presented in this post after a discussion of the estimates of Earth’s absolute mean surface temperature from data suppliers:  GISS, NCDC and BEST.  Afterwards, we return to anomalies.

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Is NOAA Wrong?

they are not wrongheaded they are lairs nuff said ;>(

Watts Up With That?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

On another post here on Watts Up With That, a commenter pointed out that NOAA says that September 2014 was the warmest September ever on record. The commenter asked, “Is NOAA  wrong?”

Sadly, as near as I can tell the answer is “Quite possibly”.

Here is the NOAA graphic in question, showing their idea of the current year to date in black, and the five warmest years in color.

noaa year to date global temperatureFigure 1. NOAA’s graphic showing the progress of the year to date. SOURCE

Man, they are squeezing it to claim this September was the warmest, looks like a three-way tie to me … but I digress.

Now, I have read in a lot of places that we currently have good agreement between the satellite temperature data and the ground temperature data. Each time I read that, I just laugh. While the two measurements are closer than they have been…

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Why would anyone believe a single word coming out of their mouth?

thanks this will drive my warmmy friends nuts ;>)


One of the climate alarmist’s standard responses to any criticism of the theory of global warming is that unless the person is a climate scientist themselves, the point being made is from a position of ignorance and can therefore be ignored. As with most propaganda designed to silence any opposition, there’s an element of truth in it.

However, I think there are a number of obvious rebuttals to such an arrogant and dismissive stance.

The regularity with which the skeptic community eviscerates alarmist papers indicates to me that they’re actually more on top of the hard science than the alarmists researchers. In general, the depth of science expertise in the skeptic community is reflected in the technical content of the leading skeptic sites and the quality of the comments, which indicate an unusually high proportion of visitors with some sort of science, engineering or mathematical background; slightly geeky to be frank but…

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The Original Hide-the-Decline

Thank you for this Steve but really it is another HUMM moment in this sorry mess ;>)

Climate Audit

In a twitter exchange among Jean S, Ronan Connolley and Tim Osborn, Ronan drew attention to an early spaghetti graph in a comment on MBH98 published by Phil Jones in Science on the day after (Apr 24, 1998) publication of Mann et al 1998. The Briffa reconstruction is in purple below. Like IPCC 2001, it hides the decline in the Briffa reconstruction (here a 1998 version) by deleting late 20th century values – here after 1950.

Figure 1. From Jones 1998 comment on MBH98. Orange – Mann et al 1998; green – Jones et al 1998; purple – Briffa et al 1998.

Jones stated that all three reconstructions “clearly show” that the 20th century is the warmest in the 600-year period, with the most “dramatic feature” being the 20th century rise:

Despite the different methods of reconstruction and the different series used, or alternatively, because a few good ones…

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