Help we be burning LOL
Imagine that each red line is a line from a
mercury alcohol thermometer which goes from 0 to 120° F as many thermometers do, except they typically go lower, often at about -40°F.
So each red line on this graph represents an annual temp as a thermometer would display it. The source is the GISS data.
Yep, the earth is burning up. Running a fever!!! Quick someone give it an aspirin!!! We should tax ourselves into oblivion because of this.
Thank you Bob for all you do ;>)
With the publication of the IPCC 5th Synthesis Report, I thought there might be some interest in a presentation of how well (actually poorly) climate models simulate global mean surface temperatures in absolute terms. That is, most climate model outputs are presented in terms of anomalies, with data shown as deviations from the temperatures of a multi-decadal reference period. See Figure 1.
Rarely, are models and model-data comparisons shown in absolute terms. That’s what’s presented in this post after a discussion of the estimates of Earth’s absolute mean surface temperature from data suppliers: GISS, NCDC and BEST. Afterwards, we return to anomalies.
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they are not wrongheaded they are lairs nuff said ;>(
Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach
On another post here on Watts Up With That, a commenter pointed out that NOAA says that September 2014 was the warmest September ever on record. The commenter asked, “Is NOAA wrong?”
Sadly, as near as I can tell the answer is “Quite possibly”.
Here is the NOAA graphic in question, showing their idea of the current year to date in black, and the five warmest years in color.
Figure 1. NOAA’s graphic showing the progress of the year to date. SOURCE
Man, they are squeezing it to claim this September was the warmest, looks like a three-way tie to me … but I digress.
Now, I have read in a lot of places that we currently have good agreement between the satellite temperature data and the ground temperature data. Each time I read that, I just laugh. While the two measurements are closer than they have been…
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thanks this will drive my warmmy friends nuts ;>)
One of the climate alarmist’s standard responses to any criticism of the theory of global warming is that unless the person is a climate scientist themselves, the point being made is from a position of ignorance and can therefore be ignored. As with most propaganda designed to silence any opposition, there’s an element of truth in it.
However, I think there are a number of obvious rebuttals to such an arrogant and dismissive stance.
The regularity with which the skeptic community eviscerates alarmist papers indicates to me that they’re actually more on top of the hard science than the alarmists researchers. In general, the depth of science expertise in the skeptic community is reflected in the technical content of the leading skeptic sites and the quality of the comments, which indicate an unusually high proportion of visitors with some sort of science, engineering or mathematical background; slightly geeky to be frank but…
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Thank you for this Steve but really it is another HUMM moment in this sorry mess ;>)
In a twitter exchange among Jean S, Ronan Connolley and Tim Osborn, Ronan drew attention to an early spaghetti graph in a comment on MBH98 published by Phil Jones in Science on the day after (Apr 24, 1998) publication of Mann et al 1998. The Briffa reconstruction is in purple below. Like IPCC 2001, it hides the decline in the Briffa reconstruction (here a 1998 version) by deleting late 20th century values – here after 1950.
Jones stated that all three reconstructions “clearly show” that the 20th century is the warmest in the 600-year period, with the most “dramatic feature” being the 20th century rise:
Despite the different methods of reconstruction and the different series used, or alternatively, because a few good ones…
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This is a MANN smack down ;>)
I get the sense that the Washington libel community and U.S. national media have belatedly woken up to the potential threat of Mann v Steyn and that the tide is now starting to run strongly against Mann in the anti-SLAPP proceedings. The most visible evidence of this is an impressive Amici brief from the ACLU and an imposing list of 25 other media organizations (the Reporters Committee for Press Freedom, the American Society of News Editors, the Association of American Publishers, the Association of Alternative Newsmedia (The Village Voice et al), NBC Universal, Bloomberg News, the publishers of USA Today, Time, The Washington Post, The Chicago Tribune, The Los Angeles Times, The Detroit Free Press, The Seattle Times, The Arizona Republic and The Bergen County Record) filed on August 11, 2014.
In addition, Steyn’s own Amicus brief substantially upped the ante on a separate front. It repeatedly and directly accused…
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