Featured Image -- 97

The Great Pause lengthens again

lorne50:

This should be spread everywhere THX Lord Monckton

Originally posted on Watts Up With That?:

Global temperature update: the Pause is now 18 years 3 months

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

Since October 1996 there has been no global warming at all (Fig. 1). This month’s RSS [1] temperature plot pushes up the period without any global warming from 18 years 2 months to 18 years 3 months.

clip_image002

Figure 1. The least-squares linear-regression trend on the RSS satellite monthly global mean surface temperature anomaly dataset shows no global warming for 18 years 3 months since October 1996.

The hiatus period of 18 years 3 months, or 219 months, is the farthest back one can go in the RSS satellite temperature record and still show a sub-zero trend.

As the Pope unwisely prepares to abandon forever the political neutrality that his office enjoins upon him, and to put his signature to a climate-Communist encyclical largely drafted by the radical Prefect of the Pontifical Academy of Sciences…

View original 5,129 more words

Oral Argument 2: EPA on “Fraud” Allegations

lorne50:

Thank you for a great start to 2015 Steve Happy New Year from one Canuk to the other here’s to a great year for friends and Family ;>)

Originally posted on Climate Audit:

Towards the end of Carvin’s mostly cringeworthy rebuttal,  he seemed to score on EPA’s rejection of complaints against Mann’s own defamatory accusations of “scientific fraud”.  EPA had found that Mann’s use of the term “fraud” meant no more than he believed the articles to be “scientifically flawed” and that, in such circumstances, Mann’s language was “appropriate”.  That Carvin brought this point up at all, after omitting it in his written brief and after mangling his rebuttal remarks on falsification and email deletion so badly, was a small miracle, but he managed to draw the judges’ attention to the issue and it’s one that seems to me to be a very big obstacle to Mann’s case.

The defendants had, of course, been long familiar with Mann’s own repeated defamatory statements, including accusations of “fraud”, but, if the Court is expected to show deference to EPA on scientific matters, EPA’s finding on the…

View original 2,745 more words

Polar bear habitat – more Arctic sea ice in Canada this week than in early 1970s

lorne50:

Facts and real Data trump Models every time ;>)

Originally posted on polarbearscience:

This week, Arctic sea ice in Canada, where 2/3 of the world’s polar bears live, had more sea ice than was present in the early 1970s. Globally, the ice is spitting-distance close to the 1981-2010 average calculated by the NSIDC for this date – which means lots of winter/spring hunting habitat for polar bears.

Canada sea ice freeze-up_same week_Dec 25 1971_2014 standard average

This is the peak of the polar bear birthing season (both in the wild and in zoos.) Newborns will be snug in maternity dens built by their mothers onshore or on the sea ice; the rest of the population will be out on the ice.

Sea ice extent 2014 Dec 25 NSIDC

Regional ice charts going back to the late 1960s and early 1970s for this week show even more surprises — have a look.


First, here’s today’s ice map (26 December 2014) published by the Canadian Ice Service. Click on any of the maps or charts below to enlarge.

View original 262 more words

How The Earth’s Temperature Looks On An AlcoholThermometer

lorne50:

Help we be burning LOL

Originally posted on suyts space:

Imagine that each red line is a line from a mercury alcohol thermometer which goes from 0 to 120° F as many thermometers do, except they typically go lower, often at about -40°F.

image

So each red line on this graph represents an annual temp as a thermometer would display it.  The source is the GISS data.

image

Yep, the earth is burning up.  Running a fever!!!  Quick someone give it an aspirin!!!  We should tax ourselves into oblivion because of this.

View original

On the Elusive Absolute Global Mean Surface Temperature – A Model-Data Comparison

lorne50:

Thank you Bob for all you do ;>)

Originally posted on Bob Tisdale - Climate Observations:

With the publication of the IPCC 5th Synthesis Report, I thought there might be some interest in a presentation of how well (actually poorly) climate models simulate global mean surface temperatures in absolute terms.  That is, most climate model outputs are presented in terms of anomalies, with data shown as deviations from the temperatures of a multi-decadal reference period. See Figure 1.

Figure 1

Figure 1

Rarely, are models and model-data comparisons shown in absolute terms.  That’s what’s presented in this post after a discussion of the estimates of Earth’s absolute mean surface temperature from data suppliers:  GISS, NCDC and BEST.  Afterwards, we return to anomalies.

View original 5,152 more words